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PARIVARTAN
Every Taluka, Climate Ready
22 October, 2026 | Climate Resilience
Soham Shah, Anushka Maheshwari, Gaurav Sahni, Ritwick Dutta, Nupur Joshi, Risaal Amina Esa, Dr Pushp Bajaj

Suggested Citation: Maharashtra Institution for Transformation (MITRA), Government of Maharashtra, and Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW). 2026. PARIVARTAN: Every Taluka, Climate Ready. Mumbai: Department of Environment and Climate Change, Government of Maharashtra.

Overview

Maharashtra is one of the five states in the country most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. Over 94 per cent of the districts in the state are vulnerable to climate change (Pankaja Munde 2025). The state’s diverse geography is being impacted by a rising frequency and intensity of extreme weather events such as extreme monsoon and rainfall, extreme summer heat, landslides, etc. Ahmadnagar, Parbhani, Nandurbar, Nanded, and Mumbai districts in Maharashtra are most vulnerable to the compounded impacts of extreme events (Mohanty and Wadhawan 2021).

According to the analysis done by the Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW) in the Maharashtra State Action Plan on Climate Change: Pathways for 2030, 80 per cent of the districts are highly sensitive to extreme hydro-met events. Additionally, 25 per cent of districts in the state are exhibiting a swapping trend, where flood-prone areas are becoming drought-prone and vice versa. These findings highlight the significance of understanding sensitivity drivers for effective climate risk mitigation and adaptation strategies.

PARIVARTAN: Every Taluka, Climate Ready presents a taluka-level profile of extreme weather events for every district of Maharashtra, combining historical observations with future projections. The book also presents the localised hazard classification in terms of Land Surface Temperature and Flood Susceptibility to map the hyperlocal hotspots of susceptibility to the two events. The analysis from the hazard profile identifies impacts on each district’s key economic sectors, such as agriculture, industry, tourism, healthcare, and transportation. Based on the identified impact drivers, the study provides contextualised, tailored recommendations aligned with Viksit Maharashtra 2047 and the State Action Plan on Climate Change.

The framework was developed under the guidance of the Department of Environment and Climate Change, Government of Maharashtra, the Maharashtra State Climate Action Cell (MahaSCAC) and the Maharashtra Institution for Transformation (MITRA), with CEEW as knowledge partner

Key Highlights

  • The state is observing a swapping trend in extreme weather events. 80% of Maharashtra's districts are highly sensitive to extreme hydro-met events, with 25% exhibiting a swapping trend between flood-prone and drought-prone conditions.
  • Granular hazard mapping enables targeted action. Tehsil-level analysis of hazard combines the historical observations and future projections of extreme events such as hot days, warm nights, heat index, heavy rainfall days, and hyperlocal indicators such as land surface temperature and flood susceptibility, providing local administrators with high-resolution evidence to prioritise hyperlocal climate adaptation and infrastructure investments.
  • The trends of extreme events are projected to increase significantly. Across the tehsils in different districts of Maharashtra, it is clearly evident that the number of heavy rainfall days, the number of hot days and the number of warm nights are projected to increase significantly in the near future and the long-term future timelines (2030-2070) as compared to the observed period (1981-2024).
  • Extreme weather events directly imperil key economic drivers. Across districts, extreme heat, heavy rainfall, and landslides threaten vital sectors like agriculture, industry, tourism, healthcare, and transport, underscoring the urgent need for sector-specific adaptation strategies and resilient infrastructure planning.
  • Contextualised and tailored adaptation strategies can help reduce the impact on the key sectors. Recommendations are tailored to each district's dominant risks and mapped to Viksit Maharashtra 2047 and the Maharashtra State Action Plan on Climate Change through a combination of structural and non-structural measures that aim to enhance the resilience of the sectors

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"Maharashtra is committed to building cities that are climate-resilient, economically viable and inclusive. This requires identifying granular risks that cities and districts face from extreme weather events. PARIVARTAN: Every Taluka, Climate Ready, gives the decision-makers and the administrators an assessment of their respective districts, which provides them with insights into vulnerable talukas and key economic sectors to the impact of climate change and extreme weather events. The future predictions of impact and contextualised and tailored strategies to enhance the resilience of key economic sectors are what make it actionable."

Executive Summary

Maharashtra is among India’s most climate-vulnerable states, with over 94 per cent of its districts identified as vulnerable to climate change. The state’s diverse geography and economic landscape are increasingly exposed to extreme weather events, including intense rainfall, flooding, extreme heat and landslides. CEEW’s analysis also finds that 80 per cent of Maharashtra’s districts are highly vulnerable to extreme hydro-meteorological events, while nearly 25 per cent exhibit a ‘swapping’ trend, where areas historically prone to floods are increasingly experiencing drought-like conditions, and vice versa. These evolving and compound risks have significant implications for the state’s economic sectors, infrastructure and communities.

To address this gap, the Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW) and the Maharashtra Institution for Transformation (MITRA) have developed PARIVARTAN: Every Taluka, Climate Ready, an actionable, taluka-level assessment developed to support administrators in data-driven decision-making and ensure resilient economic growth across Maharashtra.

PARIVARTAN provides a comprehensive climate hazard profile for every taluka across Maharashtra, bringing together historical observations, recent trends and future climate projections. It assesses the profile of extreme summer heat and extreme rainfall through indicators such as changes in the number of hot days, warm nights and heavy rainfall days, alongside hyperlocal indicators including land surface temperature and flood susceptibility. The assessment compares recent trends of the indicators (2011–2024) and projected trends (2030–2050) against the historical climatic baseline (1981–2010), enabling decision-makers to understand both emerging and future climate risks.

The climate hazard assessment is further translated into sector-specific implications for key drivers of Maharashtra’s economic growth, including agriculture, industry, tourism, healthcare and transport. By identifying the climatic drivers affecting each sector and location, PARIVARTAN provides context-specific adaptation strategies that can inform planning and investment decisions at the district and sub-district levels.

The assessment is aligned with the vision of Viksit Maharashtra 2047 and the Maharashtra State Action Plan on Climate Change, and seeks to bridge the gap between climate assessment and actionable decision-making. By making climate information available at the taluka level, PARIVARTAN aims to enable every taluka to anticipate the impacts of extreme weather events, strengthen sectoral resilience and pursue sustainable, climate-informed development.

Key definitions

  • Heavy Rainfall Days: A Heavy Rain Day is defined as a day on which the daily rainfall amount exceeds the 90th percentile threshold of daily rainfall, calculated using a baseline reference period. This percentile threshold represents the value above which only the top 10% of the wettest days occur in the baseline period.
  • Hot Days: A Hot Day is defined as a day when the daily maximum temperature (Tmax) exceeds the 90th percentile threshold of maximum temperature, calculated from the baseline reference period (1981-2010).
  • Warm Nights: A Warm Night is defined as a night when the daily minimum temperature (Tmin) exceeds the 90th percentile threshold of minimum temperature, calculated from the baseline reference period.
FAQs

Frequently Asked Questions

  • What is PARIVARTAN: Every Taluka, Climate Ready?

    PARIVARTAN: Every Taluka, Climate Ready presents a taluka-level profile of extreme weather events for every district of Maharashtra, combining historical observations with future projections. The book presents the impact of extreme summer heat using indicators such as changes in the number of hot days and warm nights in recent years (2011-2024) and future years (2030-2050) compared to the climatic baseline (1981-2010), heat index, and hyperlocal indicators such as land surface temperature.

  • Who are the target users of the book?

    State-level officials, district-level decision-makers, and taluka-level officers are the core users of PARIVARTAN, who can use the taluka-level profiles and tailored recommendations to embed resilience into planning, budgeting and programme design. Beyond this, various sectoral and line departments such as agriculture, tourism, infrastructure, healthcare, etc., can benefit from the book in planning the future development pathway for the respective talukas.

  • Which are the hazards and extreme weather events that PARIVARTAN assess?

    It assesses the profile of extreme summer heat and extreme rainfall through indicators such as changes in the number of hot days, warm nights and heavy rainfall days, alongside hyperlocal indicators including land surface temperature and flood susceptibility. The assessment compares recent trends of the indicators (2011–2024) and projected trends (2030–2050) against the historical climatic baseline (1981–2010), enabling decision-makers to understand both emerging and future climate risks.

  • Is PARIVARTAN a final document?

    No. It is explicitly designed as a living document. It will be periodically reviewed and updated to account for updated hazard and extreme weather event timelines, as well as emerging evidence, lessons from implementation and evolving international best practice. Governance arrangements for operationalising the framework will be determined in consultation with departments of the Government of Maharashtra, MITRA and technical partners.

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